
So what are the odds of correctly picking three no-balls in a day's Test play? Could Majeed have just been lucky?
Let's assume there are 90 overs in a day's play, and on average 10 no-balls and 3 wides. This means that 553 balls will be bowled in the day. There are two ways to work out the probability of correctly choosing 3 balls as no-balls.
1) You can choose 3 random balls from 553 in 28032676 different ways. You can choose 3 no-balls out of 10 possible no-balls in 120 different ways. So mathematically, this looks like:
2) The other way to do this to imagine a big bag of marbles, where the no-balls are black and all other balls white. The first time you pull out a marble, you have 10 chances in 553 of pulling out a black marble. On the second draw, you have 9 chances in 552 and on the third you have 8 chances in 551. This looks like:
This means there are 4 chances in a million of the sports-agent fluking his result. Essentially, he's dodgy! (It is left as an exercise for the reader to prove algebraically that the above two methods are exactly the same...)
Further reading:
Forrest, D. (2003). Sport and Gambling Oxford Review of Economic Policy DOI: 10.1093/oxrep/19.4.598
Frey, James H. (1992). Gambling on sport: Policy issues Journal of Gambling Studies DOI: 10.1007/BF01024122
To know more about Chief Dr Lucky you can visit his website (https://chiefdrluckyherbaltherapy.wordpress.com/)
ReplyDeleteA friend that suffered from Herpes and was cure with the help of this great herbal doctor Chief Lucky so i decided to contact him for help in getting rid of my families genital herpes virus 1/2 which i did and all i was told to provide was just some useful information and some materials used in preparation of the natural cure and that i did and now i am the happiest person on earth because i am writing this testimony of mine with joy and happiness in my heart to the whole world to know that natural remedy is real because i am a living testimony of Chief Lucky traditional herbal cure and i want you all to contact Chief Lucky via his email: chiefdrlucky@gmail.com or WhatsApp him +2348132777335 am sure he will help you too.
I read all the information you have mentioned in your blog that is really commendable. I really like your post, please share more information with us. sg betting agent
ReplyDeleteI am attracted by the info which you have provided in the above post. It is genuinely good and beneficial info for us. Continue posting, Thank you. singapore betting agent
ReplyDeleteThe content you've posted here is fantastic because it provides some excellent information that will be quite beneficial to me about PlayStar Casinos 2021 Malaysia. Thank you for sharing that. Keep up the good work.
ReplyDeleteI found decent information in your article.sa lotteries results online I am impressed with how nicely you described this subject, It is a gainful article for us. Thanks for share it.
ReplyDeleteI found decent information in your article.online sportsbook site singapore I am impressed with how nicely you described this subject, It is a gainful article for us. Thanks for share it.
ReplyDeleteI generally check this kind of article and I found your article which is related to my interest. Genuinely, it is good and instructive information about cricket predictions Thanks for sharing an amazing article here.
ReplyDeleteI generally check this kind of article and I found your article which is related to my interest. Genuinely, it is good and instructive information about Cricket Betting Thanks for sharing an amazing article here.
ReplyDeleteYour blog is very valuable which you have shared here about IPL Cricket I appreciate your efforts which you have put into this blog and also it is a gainful blog for us. Thank you for sharing this here.
ReplyDeleteGreat job, this is excellent information that is shared by you. This information is very meaningful and factual for us to increase our knowledge about it. Always keep sharing this type of information. Thanks once again for sharing it. Captain Tractor
ReplyDeleteWhat a great post! Never before have I come upon a post this useful. It appears like you put a lot of work into this post, and I hope to see more of them in the future tournament bracket website I sincerely appreciate it.
ReplyDelete